“It was the change in my own attitude toward the game that was of supreme importance to me. It taught me, little by little, the essential difference between betting on fluctuations and anticipating inevitable advances and declines, between gambling and speculating. I think it was a long step forward in my trading education when I realized at last that when old Mr. Partridge kept on telling the other customers, “Well, you know this is a bull market!” he really meant to tell them that the big money was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements that is, not in reading the tape but in sizing up the entire market and its trend. And right here let me say one thing: After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight! It is no trick at all to be right on the market. You always find lots of early bulls in bull markets and early bears in bear markets. I’ve known many men who were right at exactly the right time, and began buying or selling stocks when prices were at the very level which should show the greatest profit. And their experience invariably matched mine that is, they made no real money out of it. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make big money. It is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade than hundreds did in the days of his ignorance.”
- Jesse Livermore, 1923.
Sangat sedikit orang yang bisa melakonin trading dengan baik dan benar. Banyak trader pemula, setiap hari menatap layar monitor, karena ilmu belum cukup, cuma bisa dugem (duduk gemetaran) melihat harga naik turun nggak keruan tanpa pegangan (he he…).
Probing the market itu penting. Kesempatan paling besar, khususnya di Indonesia, karena sulit untuk melakukan short selling, adalah pada saat bottom. Jangan sampai ketinggalan. Hanya… hari ini ternyata bukan harinya.
Lho, koq katanya full cash di analisa mingguan, tapi kenapa ada rekomendasi BUY? Dua saham lagi. He he he…kami sedang setengah mengkontradiksi diri sendiri dengan menjadi swinger. Bukankah kalau mau maju, kita harus terus mencoba menembus comfort zone? Kalau kemarin-kemarin kita cari “uang besar” sekarang kita coba cari “receh”, yang kalau dikumpulkan banyak juga.
Anda tidak sempat menghadiri investor gathering 22 Mei 2010 kemarin di Hotel Nikko? Miss the “free” lunch? Yah, ngapain, Sabtu koq masih mikiran pasar modal? Santai dulu agar pikiran jernih Seninnya. Nonton Kick Ass dan Robin Hood di bioskop bersama keluarga. Betul tidak?
Ini laporan yang pernah dipublikasikan luas pada Januari 2010 oleh Nico Valbury. Intinya adalah dia memprediksi krisis tahap kedua yang lebih buruk dari tahun 2008. Mungkin Anda sudah pernah membaca artikelnya tapi belum membaca laporan penuhnya. Anda dapat mendownload laporan penuhnya di sini (klik kanan-save link as). Kita buktikan bersama kebenaran prediksi jangka panjang ini dalam satu bulan ke depan.
Fund Manager. Jabatan mentereng, mengendalikan trilyunan rupiah (tapi uang orang lain), pakai jas mahal, dan bicara seperti orang penting (padahal nggak). Tapi, benarkah fund manager lebih baik dari Anda dan kami? Menurut kami, tidak tuh. Ternyata, sebenarnya Anda dan kami sebagai trader ritel mempunyai keunggulan (“edge“) tersendiri dibandingkan fund manager. Apa saja itu?
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Halo traders! Selamat datang di Pojok Saham! (baca dulu)
Halo! Kami tahu, belum saatnya bicara hal ini, karena di masa bullish ini, even monkey can make money. (monyet pun bisa untung). Tapi mau bagaimanapun juga, ini satu keahlian yang perlu Anda kuasai sebagai trader, yaitu keahlian cut loss.
